Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 9, 2025 at 2pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
2 - 1
Parma

Vogliacco (57' og.), Coman (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leoni (78')
Camara (55'), Hernani (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Lazio
Monday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 1-3 Lecce
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cagliari.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Parma
47% ( 0.22)	24.29% ( -0.02)	28.7% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.93% (

-0.05)

45.06% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

-0.04)

67.41% (

0.04)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

0.07)

19.29% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96% (

0.12)

51.03% (

-0.12)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

-0.17)

29.1% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.21)

65.02% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 47%

Parma 28.7%

Draw 24.29%

Cagliari	Draw	Parma
2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 47%	1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.7%