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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Parma logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Parma

Vogliacco (57' og.), Coman (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Leoni (78')
Camara (55'), Hernani (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Lazio
Monday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 1-3 Lecce
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cagliari.

Result
CagliariDrawParma
47% (0.223 0.22)24.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)28.7% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.22% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)45.06% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)67.41% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (0.118 0.12)51.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)29.1% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.206 -0.21)65.02% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 47%
    Parma 28.7%
    Draw 24.29%
CagliariDrawParma
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.7%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Parma

Cagliari
64.9%
Draw
24.3%
Parma
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Parma
2-3
Cagliari
Man (62'), Hernani (87' pen.)
Bernabe (25'), Coulibaly (48'), Haj Mohamed (90+1')
Zortea (34'), Marin (75'), Piccoli (87')
Obert (53'), Piccoli (90')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Cagliari
Osorio (61'), Zanimacchia (64')
Dossena (41'), Radunovic (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Viola (90+5')
> Preview
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
Cagliari
3-2
Parma
Luvumbo (68', 89'), Lapadula (85' pen.)
Benedyczak (10'), Sohm (26')
Estevez (29'), Vazquez (62'), Chichizola (65'), Mihaila (72'), Man (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Parma
2-1
Cagliari
Vazquez (62' pen.), Man (77')
Lapadula (32')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-1
Parma
Pavoletti (54')
Camara (44')