Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Celje1 - 2Fiorentina
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bravo 1-2 Celje
Sunday, April 6 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, April 6 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Goals
for
for
52
Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Fiorentina
Saturday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
49
We said: Celje 1-2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina have rediscovered their form, after suffering a dramatic slump from February into March, so they should be ready to take a first-leg lead in Slovenia. As Celje lost half their league-phase games and only sneaked through via the playoffs - conceding plenty of goals along the way - they will lose again, leaving them with a mountain to climb when they visit Florence for next week's second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Celje had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Celje win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fiorentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Fiorentina |
37.22% ( 0) | 23.85% ( -0) | 38.92% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.03% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
