Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.