MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 07:52:00| >> :60:52:52:
Real Betis logo
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin

Betis
2 - 0
Jagiellonia

Bakambu (24'), Rodriguez Caraballo (45+2')
Isco (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Villar (17'), Romanczuk (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Real Betis and Jagiellonia Bialystok, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Betis 3-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok

Betis will be full of confidence after winning six of their last eight competitive matches, and we think that they will continue to build momentum by making full use of home advantage in Thursday's first leg, especially as Jagiellonia have lost two of their last three European away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
59.26% (-0.252 -0.25) 21.64% (0.108 0.11) 19.11% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.92% (-0.255 -0.26)43.08% (0.26 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.52% (-0.253 -0.25)65.48% (0.25800000000001 0.26)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)14.18% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.12% (-0.316 -0.32)41.88% (0.322 0.32)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 59.25%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 19.11%
    Draw 21.63%
Real BetisDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.63%
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 19.11%

How you voted: Betis vs Jagiellonia

Real Betis
88.4%
Draw
3.3%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
8.3%
121
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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