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Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin

Betis
2 - 0
Jagiellonia

Bakambu (24'), Rodriguez Caraballo (45+2')
Isco (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Villar (17'), Romanczuk (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Real Betis and Jagiellonia Bialystok, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Betis 3-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok

Betis will be full of confidence after winning six of their last eight competitive matches, and we think that they will continue to build momentum by making full use of home advantage in Thursday's first leg, especially as Jagiellonia have lost two of their last three European away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
59.26% (-0.252 -0.25) 21.64% (0.108 0.11) 19.11% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.92% (-0.255 -0.26)43.08% (0.26 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.52% (-0.253 -0.25)65.48% (0.25800000000001 0.26)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)14.18% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.12% (-0.316 -0.32)41.88% (0.322 0.32)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 59.25%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 19.11%
    Draw 21.63%
Real BetisDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.63%
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 19.11%

How you voted: Betis vs Jagiellonia

Real Betis
88.4%
Draw
3.3%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
8.3%
121
rhs 2.0
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14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
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