Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Jagiellonia2 - 1Lech Poznan
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Lech Poznan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, March 8 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, March 8 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
46
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Lech Poznan |
45.92% ( -0.53) | 25.88% ( 0.31) | 28.19% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
