Cercle Brugge2 - 0Jagiellonia
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
for
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
for
We said: Cercle Brugge 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok (Jagiellonia Bialystok to win 4-2 on aggregate)
Cercle may be experiencing a poor run of form, but they did win two of their three home games in the league phase, and with that in mind, we believe that they may claim a victory in Thursday's second leg, but we do not think they will do enough to overturn the three-goal deficit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
42.73% ( -5.08) | 25.02% ( -0.22) | 32.25% ( 5.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( 3.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
