MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 07:53:40| >> :60:151:151:
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 0
Cercle Brugge

Pululu (69' pen., 78'), Romanczuk (75')
Flach (40'), Villar (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Francis (24'), (77')
Francis (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Cercle Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-0 Antwerp
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Cercle Brugge

Following several January departures, Cercle Brugge certainly pose less attacking threat than they did in the league phase, and we see Jagiellonia Bialystok taking advantage and gaining a crucial aggregate lead in Thursday's home leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawCercle Brugge
48.27% (0.012 0.01) 24.62% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 27.11% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 54.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (0.029000000000003 0.03)47.5% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)69.71% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.01700000000001 0.02)19.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (0.026999999999994 0.03)51.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (0.012 0.01)31.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.93% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 48.26%
    Cercle Brugge 27.12%
    Draw 24.61%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawCercle Brugge
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 48.26%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 27.12%

How you voted: Jagiellonia vs Cercle Brugge

Jagiellonia Bialystok
73.6%
Draw
13.2%
Cercle Brugge
13.2%
53
rhs 2.0
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