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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 24, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Real Valladolid logo

Betis
5 - 1
Valladolid

Rodriguez Caraballo (17'), Camilo Hernandez (64'), Isco (66'), Perraud (84'), Ezzalzouli (90')
Ruibal (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
San Jose Cantalejo (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 9.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.29%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawReal Valladolid
74.93% (0.040999999999997 0.04)15.48% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)9.58% (9.9999999999767E-5 0)
Both teams to score 50.09% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09% (0.222 0.22)35.9% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42% (0.243 0.24)57.99% (-0.247 -0.25)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9% (0.057999999999993 0.06)8.09% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.55% (0.154 0.15)28.44% (-0.158 -0.16)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (0.155 0.16)45.49% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (0.122 0.12)81.32% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 74.93%
    Real Valladolid 9.58%
    Draw 15.48%
Real BetisDrawReal Valladolid
2-0 @ 11.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.75% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.68% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.13% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.83% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 74.93%
1-1 @ 7.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 15.48%
0-1 @ 2.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 9.58%

How you voted: Betis vs Valladolid

Real Betis
87.5%
Draw
11.1%
Real Valladolid
1.4%
72
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Valladolid
1-0
Betis
Perez (58')
Maranhao (42'), Roque (42'), Perez (71')

Llorente (26'), Lo Celso (70'), Cardoso (77'), Roque (90+12')
Feb 18, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 22
Betis
2-1
Valladolid
Juanmi (2'), Canales (45+4' pen.)
Larin (30')
Oct 9, 2022 1pm
Jan 5, 2022 7pm
Round of 32
Valladolid
0-3
Betis

Mesa (26')
Carvalho (24'), Fekir (27'), Iglesias (50')
Rodriguez (47')
May 2, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 34
Valladolid
1-1
Betis
Weissman (68')
Sanchez (49'), Janko (88')
Ruibal (49')
Ruiz (18'), Guardado (40'), Mandi (90'), Fekir (90+1'), Emerson (90+1')