

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Nacional | 
| 37.68% (  0.22) | 27.64% (  0.22) | 34.68% (  -0.44) | 
| Both teams to score 48.83% (  -0.72) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.07% (  -0.88) | 56.93% (  0.88) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.16% (  -0.71) | 77.84% (  0.71) | 
| SC Farense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.82% (  -0.3) | 29.18% (  0.3) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.88% (  -0.37) | 65.12% (  0.37) | 
| Nacional Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.96% (  -0.72) | 31.04% (  0.73) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.64% (  -0.86) | 67.36% (  0.86) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| SC Farense | Draw | Nacional | 
| 1-0 @ 11.15% (  0.28) 2-1 @ 8.04% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.87% (  0.12) 3-1 @ 3.3% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.82% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% (  -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.02% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 13.05% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 9.06% (  0.3) 2-2 @ 4.7% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.59% (  0.14) 1-2 @ 7.63% (  -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.2% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.98% (  -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.42% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.83% (  -0.08) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.68% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 | 
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 | 
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 | 
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 | 
| 16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
