

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | SC Farense | 
| 53.64% (  0.24) | 26.41% (  0.01) | 19.95% (  -0.25) | 
| Both teams to score 42.16% (  -0.36) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 39.62% (  -0.29) | 60.38% (  0.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.47% (  -0.22) | 80.52% (  0.21) | 
| Santa Clara Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.28% (  -0.02) | 22.71% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.62% (  -0.03) | 56.38% (  0.02) | 
| SC Farense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 54.55% (  -0.45) | 45.45% (  0.45) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.71% (  -0.36) | 81.29% (  0.35) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Santa Clara | Draw | SC Farense | 
| 1-0 @ 15.3% (  0.16) 2-0 @ 11.33% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 8.94% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.6% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 4.42% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 12.06% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.32% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 3.53% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.14% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.76% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.21% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.25% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.93% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.95% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 | 
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 | 
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 | 
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 | 
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 | 
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 | 
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 | 
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 | 
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 | 
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