

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 34.93% ( | 29.34% ( | 35.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.01% ( | 62.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.54% ( | 82.46% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( | 34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.31% ( | 70.68% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( | 33.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.89% ( | 70.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 13.43% ( 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 26 | 59 | 78 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 78 |
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 65 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 51 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 44 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 36 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Nacional | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 24 |
| 17 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 53 | -31 | 24 |
| 18 | AVS | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 24 |
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