

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 40.8% ( | 27.53% ( | 31.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( | 77.94% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( | 27.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.06% ( | 62.94% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( | 33.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.25% ( | 69.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 |
| 3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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