Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 19, 2025 at 12.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 3
New Saints

Hawkins (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wilson (54'), Clarke (57'), Brobbel (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Haverfordwest
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Bala Town
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawThe New Saints
19.12% (-0.573 -0.57)22.79% (-0.236 -0.24)58.09% (0.811 0.81)
Both teams to score 50.93% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.95% (0.204 0.2)48.05% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (0.185 0.19)70.22% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (-0.506 -0.51)39.19% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (-0.478 -0.48)75.9% (0.47999999999999 0.48)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (0.352 0.35)16.25% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (0.635 0.63)45.77% (-0.633 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 19.12%
    The New Saints 58.09%
    Draw 22.78%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 5.97% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 19.12%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.51% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.37% (0.171 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.97% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.111 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.015 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 58.09%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2025 12.15pm
Gameweek 5
New Saints
5-1
Haverfordwest
Tabone (19' og.), Davies (22'), Oteh (29'), Marshall (61'), Williams (76')
Williams (78')
Jones (33')
Nov 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
2-1
Haverfordwest
Pask (36'), Baker (52')
Pask (24'), Williams (54')
Fawcett (18')
McCarthy (22'), Tabone (31')
Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
0-1
New Saints

Watts (38'), Walters (55'), Ahmun (78')
Cieslewicz (21')
Bradley (56'), Ahmun (80')
Dec 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Haverfordwest
0-1
New Saints

Watts (12')
Baker (80')
Young (15'), Marriott (44'), Williams (85'), Routledge (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
5-1
Haverfordwest
Smith (24'), Hudson (49'), Brobbel (74', 76', 83')
Young (40'), Canavan (61')
Jenkins (69')
Fawcett (20'), Owen (21'), Maxwell Jones (40'), Taylor-Crossdale (41'), Whitmore (57')