MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 06:37:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Mar 29, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
New Saints

Crole (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-6 New Saints
Saturday, March 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.23%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
15.17% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 21.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 63.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.25% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.78% (0.076000000000001 0.08)50.22% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.82% (0.067 0.07)72.18% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.62% (0.096000000000004 0.1)45.37% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.77% (0.074999999999999 0.07)81.23% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.01700000000001 0.02)15.34% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)44.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 15.17%
    The New Saints 63.04%
    Draw 21.78%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 4.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 15.17%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.04% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.58% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 63.04%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 12.15pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
4-0
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (11'), Oteh (54'), Brobbel (63'), Clark (88')
McGahey (34'), Williams (58')

McGahey (34')
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
New Saints
3-2
Pen-y-Bont
Pask (50'), Davies (65'), Redmond (89')
Oteh (90+1')
Crole (27', 31')
Kircough (56'), Wood (86'), Borge (90+1'), Owen (90+1')
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
New Saints
Green (13'), Venables (85')
Kircough (27'), Harling (69'), Reffell (72')
Wilson (44')
Smith (23')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
New Saints
3-0
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (1'), Pask (81'), McManus (88')
Redmond (36'), Baker (60'), Davies (90')

Brown (45+1'), Reffell (61'), Davies (70')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!