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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints
3 - 0
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (1'), Pask (81'), McManus (88')
Redmond (36'), Baker (60'), Davies (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brown (45+1'), Reffell (61'), Davies (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-2 Bala Town
Saturday, December 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
71.6% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22) 15.72% (0.072000000000001 0.07) 12.68% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.48% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.52% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.86% (0.052 0.05)48.14% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.21% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)6.79% (0.03 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.94% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)25.06% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.248 0.25)34.24% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (0.263 0.26)70.93% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 71.6%
    Pen-y-Bont 12.68%
    Draw 15.72%
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.54% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 71.6%
1-1 @ 6.7% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.72%
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 12.68%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-5
New Saints
Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Wood (81' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Brobbel (90+1')
Redmond (56')

Owen (30')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-428
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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