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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 0
Caernarfon

Sears (45+1' og.), Bradley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 5-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 8 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 4-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.63%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 4.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 4-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.99%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
86.63% (0.251 0.25) 8.87% (-0.289 -0.29) 4.49% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.94% (2.297 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.96% (2.152 2.15)22.03% (-2.147 -2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.06% (2.903 2.9)40.94% (-2.899 -2.9)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.65% (0.379 0.38)3.34% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.29% (1.256 1.26)14.71% (-1.252 -1.25)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.67% (2.184 2.18)48.33% (-2.181 -2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.53% (1.542 1.54)83.47% (-1.537 -1.54)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 86.63%
    Caernarfon Town 4.49%
    Draw 8.87%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
3-0 @ 10.56% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.84 -0.84)
4-0 @ 8.98% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 7.69% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 6.53% (0.251 0.25)
5-0 @ 6.1% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.691 -0.69)
5-1 @ 4.44% (0.304 0.3)
6-0 @ 3.46% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.189 0.19)
6-1 @ 2.51% (0.245 0.25)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.23 0.23)
7-0 @ 1.68% (0.116 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.61% (0.202 0.2)
7-1 @ 1.22% (0.154 0.15)
6-2 @ 0.91% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 86.63%
1-1 @ 3.99% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 1.62% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 8.87%
1-2 @ 1.45% (0.01 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 4.49%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
0-1
New Saints

John Williams (56'), Downey (65'), (90+6'), Jones (90+7'), Jones (90+7')
Wilson (21')
Pask (90+5')
Dec 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Caernarfon
2-5
New Saints
Lloyd (5'), Clarke (18')
Mooney (64')
Bodenham (2', 40'), Williams (11'), Clark (73', 74')
Oct 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
1-2
Caernarfon
Smith (12')
Clarke (33'), Lloyd (82')
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
7-1
Caernarfon
McManus (7', 59' pen.), Clark (13'), Cieslewicz (16', 47'), Redmond (22'), Hudson (90')
Lloyd (72')
Maher (33')
Maher (33')
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-8
New Saints
Bradley (7')
Young (2', 34', 49'), Cieslewicz (30', 31'), Holden (55', 90'), Hudson (85')
Young (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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