MX23RW : Friday, April 11 08:27:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 1
Haverfordwest

Lloyd (26')
Lock (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fawcett (10')
Ahmun (58'), Walters (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 1-3 Caernarfon
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, February 1 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
25.84% (0.171 0.17) 25.34% (0.25 0.25) 48.82% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (-0.872 -0.87)51.42% (0.874 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (-0.764 -0.76)73.23% (0.76599999999999 0.77)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)34.65% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (-0.347 -0.35)71.37% (0.34899999999999 0.35)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.532 -0.53)21.08% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)53.89% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 25.84%
    Haverfordwest County 48.82%
    Draw 25.34%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.1% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.84%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.252 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.82%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon
Downey (32'), Mendes (33')
Aug 17, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
1-2
Haverfordwest
Jones (75')
Gosset (25')
Ahmun (73'), Jones (90+1')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
0-1
Haverfordwest

Gosset (42'), John Williams (90+4')
Donohue (90+4')
Dyer (73')
Abbruzzese (90+4')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon
Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints30240684295572
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont30187551282361
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest301311637221550
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon30136115047345
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU30127114143-243
6Bala TownBala Town30713103439-534
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry30137104851-346
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay301251346321441
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town30113164261-1936
4Briton Ferry3095164558-1332
5Newtown AFCNewtown3068163458-2426
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3052232468-4417
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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