Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.