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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University Stadium
Connah's Quay
6 - 1
Caernarfon
Franklin (2', 6', 11', 45+2'), Kenny (45+8'), Williams (73')
Kenny (20')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Lloyd (79')
Williams (14'), Maher (53'), Lloyd (90'), Lloyd (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw has a probability of 16.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it is 1-2 (3.37%).

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
72.23% (0.367 0.37) 16.33% (-0.17 -0.17) 11.43% (-0.197 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.15% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.69% (0.279 0.28)34.31% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.79% (0.315 0.31)56.21% (-0.315 -0.31)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.71% (0.149 0.15)8.29% (-0.1479 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.06% (0.36799999999999 0.37)28.93% (-0.368 -0.37)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)40.95% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (-0.124 -0.12)77.51% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 72.23%
    Caernarfon Town 11.43%
    Draw 16.33%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.74% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.8% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.44% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.86% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.71% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.42% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.014 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.032 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
6-1 @ 1% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 72.23%
1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.33%
1-2 @ 3.37% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 11.43%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-4
Connah's Quay

Thomas (37'), Austin (61'), Donohue (71'), Gosset (75')
Poole (10'), Kenny (55'), Davies (70' pen.), Edwards (77')
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Connah's Quay
3-3
Caernarfon
Nash (69'), Malkin (74', 90+4')
O'Rourke (10'), Faux (50'), Marsh-Hughes (65')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
0-2
Connah's Quay
Stratulis (70'), Edwards (90+1')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
0-1
Connah's Quay

Hughes (23'), Donohue (53'), Simpson (79')
Hughes (90+2')
Eardley (68')
Harrington (64')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
1-1
Caernarfon
Disney (50')
Curran (32'), Owens (70')
Thomas (28')
Hughes (45+3'), Gosset (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints12102043103332
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay14102241162532
3Caernarfon TownCaernarfon147252826223
4Newtown AFCNewtown127142213922
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