Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.