Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 14.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.