Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.