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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Nov 11, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Penarol
Nacional
2 - 2
Penarol
Ramirez (31'), Baez (63')
Baez (64'), Carneiro (72'), Rodriguez (73')
Fagundez (36'), Nahuel Suarez Ferreira (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Neris (47'), Hernandez (87')
Coelho (17'), Gonzalez (33'), Rodriguez (72')
Cardozo (36'), Coelho (36')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 0-3 Nacional
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, November 5 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 32.35% and a draw has a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.14%).

Result
NacionalDrawPenarol
32.35% (-0.61 -0.61) 28.04% (0.285 0.29) 39.62% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 47.22% (-0.972 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25% (-1.15 -1.15)58.75% (1.151 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.901 -0.9)79.28% (0.90400000000001 0.9)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (-1.019 -1.02)33.55% (1.022 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (-1.129 -1.13)70.19% (1.131 1.13)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.367 -0.37)28.93% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (-0.456 -0.46)64.81% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 32.34%
    Penarol 39.61%
    Draw 28.03%
NacionalDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.34%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.416 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 12.03% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.171 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 39.61%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
2-0
Nacional
Mendez (78'), Laquintana (90')
Sep 4, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Penarol
Laborda (45+1'), Suarez (53'), Candido (76')
Lozano (12'), Zabala (90+7')
Mendez (61')
Rak (14'), Rossi (77'), Lozano (86'), Da Silveira (90+8')
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
1-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (32' pen.)
Arias (73')
Ceppelini (40')

Trezza (42'), Luis Rodriguez (49'), Gigliotti (77'), Trasante (90+4')
Gigliotti (82')
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (59'), Gargano (78'), Dawson (90+2')
Carballo (13'), Trezza (45'), Polenta (56'), Zunino (59'), Almeida (80'), Ocampo (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Penarol
0-1
Nacional
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1LiverpoolLiverpool97111441022
2PenarolPenarol9531159618
3Defensor SportingDefensor9522156917
4Boston RiverBoston River8422106414
5Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia934297213
6NacionalNacional93421211113
7Racing de MontevideoRacing933399012
8Montevideo City TorqueTorque93241214-211
9La Luz824299010
10River PlateRiver Plate924338-510
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado823378-19
12DanubioDanubio923468-29
13FenixFenix8143611-57
14Montevideo WanderersWanderers8215611-57
15CerroCerro8134710-36
16Cerro Largo9135615-96
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor7421115614
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7331106412
3DanubioDanubio732264211
4PenarolPenarol731399010
5Boston RiverBoston River73048719
6River PlateRiver Plate723257-29
7Montevideo City TorqueTorque72238808
8La Luz7115617-114
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol15104125111434
2NacionalNacional1585228111729
3Defensor SportingDefensor1567227141325
4Cerro Largo156721310325
5LiverpoolLiverpool156542419523
6Montevideo WanderersWanderers156541612423
7River PlateRiver Plate155551719-220
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado155551823-520
9La Luz155462327-418
10CerroCerro153751316-316
11Montevideo City TorqueTorque153571524-916
12Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia154471525-1016
13DanubioDanubio153662019115
14Racing de MontevideoRacing153661317-415
15Boston RiverBoston River152671523-812
16FenixFenix153391123-1212
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table
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