Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 15, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1Cerro
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Nacional
Friday, October 6 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, October 6 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, October 8 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, October 8 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Cerro |
60.49% ( -0.22) | 24.26% ( 0.11) | 15.25% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 39.81% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
