Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 4, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Anasco (49', 49'), Tica (88', 88')
Affonso (62'), Affonso (62'), Parada (64'), Parada (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruiz Diaz (81', 81')
Meite (90'), Meite (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Cerro Largo
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Plaza Colonia

All competitions
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-0 Juventud
Saturday, April 26 at 9.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 26.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPlaza Colonia
44.91% (1.047 1.05)28.56% (-0.473 -0.47)26.54% (-0.571 -0.57)
Both teams to score 43.18% (0.83 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.49% (1.223 1.22)62.51% (-1.219 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.89% (0.884 0.88)82.11% (-0.881 -0.88)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (1.149 1.15)27.84% (-1.146 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (1.447 1.45)63.43% (-1.446 -1.45)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (0.201 0.2)40.16% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.182 0.18)76.8% (-0.179 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 44.9%
    Plaza Colonia 26.53%
    Draw 28.55%
Cerro LargoDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 14.29% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 9.14% (0.171 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.201 0.2)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.195 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 11.17% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Cerro Largo
4-0
Plaza Colonia
Correa (5'), Villar (30'), Nunez (37'), Gianoli (74')
Lima (42'), Brasil (53'), Nunez (90+1')

Olivera (21')
Jun 4, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Plaza Colonia
3-3
Cerro Largo
Brun (5'), Olivera (40' pen.), Ebere (86')
Mathias Bogado (52'), Brun (57'), Goyeni (78')
Ferrares (71', 90+1'), Villar (90')
Correa (29'), Ferrares (47'), Goyeni (77'), Villar (89')
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Plaza Colonia
2-0
Cerro Largo
Villalba (19'), Ebere (87')
Aug 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Plaza Colonia
2-0
Cerro Largo
Quintana (33' pen., 58')
Guirin (68'), Quintana (75'), Kidd (75'), Barrandeguy (82'), Fernandez (87')
Fernandez (87')

Garcia (23'), Correa (32'), (67')
Jun 20, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
1-0
Plaza Colonia
Villar (90+2')
Onetto (36'), Bentaberry (50')

Bahia (50'), Vitao (76')