Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Apr 18, 2025 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
1 - 0
River Plate

Mir (63')
Tica (45+1'), Contrera (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomas Lopez Pose (22'), Almeida (71'), Alessio Lopez Pose (79'), Orono Sire (86')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, April 13 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Juventud
Monday, April 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 49.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	River Plate
49.2% ( -0.63)	26.9% ( 0.04)	23.89% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 45.34% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.34% (

0.3)

58.66% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

0.23)

79.2% (

-0.23)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

-0.16)

23.96% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

-0.23)

58.19% (

0.23)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.62% (

0.73)

40.38% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23% (

0.66)

77% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 49.2%

River Plate 23.9%

Draw 26.9%

Cerro Largo	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.2%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.31% Total : 23.9%