Australian A-League | Gameweek 28
Apr 25, 2025 at 10.35am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Macarthur1 - 2Victory
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, April 20 at 8am in Australian A-League
Sunday, April 20 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Victory 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, April 19 at 8am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 19 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
41
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.33%) and 0-1 (5.12%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
35.01% ( -0.32) | 21.76% ( 0.05) | 43.23% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 69.76% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
