MX23RW : Friday, April 25 21:37:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 1, 2025 at 6am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Brisbane Roar
1 - 1
Victory

Hore (20')
O'Shea (57'), Jelacic (64'), Hore (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bos (90+7')
Machach (57'), Valadon (69'), Monge (90+3'), Monge (90+3')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, February 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 2-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 22 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 26.14% and a draw has a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.47%).

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne Victory
26.14% (0.199 0.2) 21.7% (-0.139 -0.14) 52.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 64.26% (0.715 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.17% (0.848 0.85)34.83% (-0.855 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.2% (0.945 0.95)56.8% (-0.953 -0.95)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.58800000000001 0.59)25.61% (-0.597 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (0.799 0.8)60.49% (-0.806 -0.81)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (0.273 0.27)13.62% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (0.544 0.54)40.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 26.14%
    Melbourne Victory 52.16%
    Draw 21.7%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.75% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.14%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.49% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 6.28% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.27% (0.09 0.09)
1-4 @ 3.13% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.13% (0.067 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.25% (0.03 0.03)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.045 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 52.16%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 6am
Gameweek 4
Victory
2-0
Brisbane Roar
Velupillay (38'), Geria (76')

Shour (28'), Van Der Saag (85')
Apr 20, 2024 8.30am
Gameweek 25
Victory
0-0
Brisbane Roar
Ikonomidis (82')
Geria (51')
Mar 3, 2024 6am
Gameweek 19
Brisbane Roar
3-2
Victory
Rojas (23', 56'), Waddingham (70')
Hore (39'), Burke-Gilroy (62'), Jelacic (90')
Machach (35'), Bonevacia (86')
Geria (15')
Apr 29, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
0-1
Brisbane Roar
Courtney-Perkins (54')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 11
Victory
0-1
Brisbane Roar
O'Shea (73')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC24148246232350
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City24135636241244
3Melbourne VictoryVictory2512674335842
4Western UnitedWestern Utd24125750351541
5Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney24117654391540
6Sydney FCSydney FC24107752401237
7Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2510785355-237
8Macarthur2596104942733
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2485114242029
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2551192849-2126
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2466122740-1324
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2436152950-2115
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2435162055-3514
> Australian A-League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!