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Adelaide United
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Feb 22, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Melbourne City

Victory
2 - 2
Melbourne City

Machach (45+7' pen.), Santos Rodrigus (48')
Miranda (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tilio (5'), Trewin (70' pen.)
Trewin (44'), Atkinson (50'), Kuen (56')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-0 Wellington
Friday, February 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, February 15 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
42.44% (0.13800000000001 0.14) 23.13% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 34.43% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.25% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.96% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)37.04% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.77% (-0.104 -0.1)59.23% (0.105 0.11)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.018999999999991 0.02)17.95% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03)48.79% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)21.69% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17% (-0.187 -0.19)54.83% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 42.44%
    Melbourne City 34.43%
    Draw 23.13%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 34.43%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 8.35am
Gameweek 9
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
Miranda (65')
Cohen (16')
Kuen (38'), Souprayen (69'), Ugarkovic (85')
Oct 26, 2024 9.35am
Gameweek 2
Melbourne City
1-3
Victory
Nabbout (64')
Ugarkovic (40')
Velupillay (5'), Vergos (13'), Teague (25')
May 5, 2024 8am
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Victory win 3-2 on penalties)
Velupillay (88')
Arzani (11'), Fornaroli (50'), Da Silva (115')
Machach (37')
Souprayen (29')
Souprayen (5'), Jeggo (38'), MacLaren (41'), Antonis (90+2'), Good (102')
Good (118')
Apr 6, 2024 9.45am
Gameweek 23
Victory
2-1
Melbourne City
Fornaroli (34' pen.), Da Silva (86')
Arzani (7'), Da Silva (40'), Machach (82'), Fornaroli (90')
Arslan (4')
Talbot (27'), Caputo (66'), Fernandez (83'), Jakolis (90+1')
Feb 17, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jeggo (15'), Jakolis (71')
Machach (5'), Monge (35'), Geria (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC24148246232350
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City23134634221243
3Western UnitedWestern Utd24125750351541
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney23116652371539
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2411674134739
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2410685254-236
7Sydney FCSydney FC2397749381134
8Macarthur239594638832
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2385104039129
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2451092647-2125
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2466122740-1324
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2335152849-2114
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2435162055-3514
> Australian A-League Full Table


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