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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sheffield United logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Sheff Utd


Pearson (22'), Wilmot (56'), Johansson (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCallum (38'), Brookes (87')
Campbell (25'), McCallum (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 6-0 Stoke
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Sheffield United

The visitors have seen their momentum slip away in recent weeks, while the hosts know a result could seal their safety, and we envisage a share of the spoils in Staffordshire on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSheffield United
29.67% (0.221 0.22) 26% (0.099 0.1) 44.33% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 52.26% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (-0.298 -0.3)51.83% (0.298 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.259 -0.26)73.59% (0.259 0.26)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)23.29% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78% (-0.41 -0.41)57.22% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 29.67%
    Sheffield United 44.32%
    Draw 25.99%
Stoke CityDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 10.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.32%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sheff Utd

Stoke City
34.3%
Draw
23.4%
Sheffield United
42.3%
137
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sheff Utd
2-0
Stoke
Moore (14'), Campbell (50')
Ahmedhodzic (36'), Campbell (45+2'), Souza (47'), Brewster (75')

Gibson (45'), Koumas (82')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Sheff Utd
3-1
Stoke
Ndiaye (9'), Bogle (33', 90')
Powell (45+1')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Stoke
3-1
Sheff Utd
Wilmot (4'), Jagielka (45+4'), Delap (90+1')
Brewster (28')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-0
Sheff Utd
Egan (78' og.)
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sheff Utd
2-1
Stoke
Mousset (80'), McGoldrick (83')
Brown (55')
Smith (27'), Brown (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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