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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Stoke City |
58.69% (![]() | 22.72% (![]() | 18.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.52% (![]() | 48.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.39% (![]() | 70.61% (![]() |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% (![]() | 16.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.32% (![]() | 45.68% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.97% (![]() | 40.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.32% (![]() | 76.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.8% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.94% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 94 |
2 | Burnley | 44 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 94 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 45 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 89 |
4 | Sunderland | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 44 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 67 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 62 | 57 | 5 | 66 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 63 |
8 | Millwall | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 63 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 62 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 60 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 60 |
12 | Watford | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 56 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 56 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 67 | 66 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 56 | 69 | -13 | 52 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 50 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 10 | 19 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 49 |
20 | Hull City | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 48 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 46 |
22 | Luton TownLuton | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 46 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 43 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 43 |
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