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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Stoke logo

Sheff Utd
3 - 1
Stoke

Ndiaye (9'), Bogle (33', 90')
Bogle (61'), Egan (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Powell (45+1')
Laurent (56'), Souttar (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Stoke City

Stoke find themselves in a tough run of form heading into a particularly tricky test away at one of the league's strongest sides, and even with the Blades lacking a number of key players, we can only anticipate them once again triumphing on home turf on Saturday, with Ndiaye in particular expected to cause problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
58.69% (-0.061 -0.06) 22.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 18.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)48.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.064 -0.06)70.61% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)16.2% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)45.68% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)76.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 58.68%
    Stoke City 18.6%
    Draw 22.71%
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Stoke

Sheffield United
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Stoke City
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Stoke
3-1
Sheff Utd
Wilmot (4'), Jagielka (45+4'), Delap (90+1')
Fosu (62')
Brewster (28')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Sheff Utd
2-1
Stoke
Mousset (80'), McGoldrick (83')
Brown (55')
Smith (27'), Brown (56')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Stoke
2-2
Sheff Utd
Vokes (19'), Shawcross (69')
Woods (57')
Dowell (48'), Stevens (77')
Fleck (43')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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