Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 1
Luton

Baker (74')
Tchamadeu (47'), Bae (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alli (90+1')
McGuinness (4'), Morris (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Luton Town
46.96% ( -2.19)	25.6% ( -0.13)	27.44% ( 2.33)

Both teams to score 52.09% (

2.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63% (

2.11)

51.37% (

-2.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81% (

1.81)

73.19% (

-1.82)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13% (

-0.09)

21.87% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.88% (

-0.14)

55.12% (

0.14)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

3.06)

33.32% (

-3.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

3.23)

69.94% (

-3.23)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 46.95%

Luton Town 27.44%

Draw 25.59%

Stoke City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -1) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.79) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.95%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.44%