We said: Hull City 2-1 Luton Town
Hull have found it difficult to win on their home turf this season, however, they have picked up a couple of wins at home in recent weeks.
We think that they will build on those results and secure another home victory this weekend as they face a Luton side that have only won twice on the road all season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.