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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Luton
1 - 1
Plymouth

Brown (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Talovierov (70')
Szucs (77'), Bundu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Plymouth Argyle

After missing a plethora of chances against Sheffield United on the weekend, Luton have the perfect opportunity to break their Kenilworth Roal goal drought as Plymouth come to town on Wednesday night. The Pilgrims have shown major signs of improvement since the arrival of Muslic, although we feel that they will need to wait even longer for their maiden away success of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
63.23% (0.052 0.05) 22.14% (-0.035 -0.04) 14.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.099000000000004 0.1)52.6% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.74% (0.084999999999997 0.08)74.25% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.051000000000002 0.05)16.08% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.093000000000004 0.09)45.47% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.4% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.07% (0.025000000000002 0.03)82.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 63.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 14.63%
    Draw 22.13%
Luton TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 13.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 63.22%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.63%

How you voted: Luton vs Plymouth

Luton Town
55.8%
Draw
17.5%
Plymouth Argyle
26.7%
120
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Plymouth
3-1
Luton
Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')
Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-0
Luton
Carey (29'), Edwards (42'), Canavan (62'), Fox (80')
Hylton (30'), Shinnie (74')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
5-1
Plymouth
Collins (12', 45' pen., 77'), Lee (23'), Justin (29')
Grant (89')
O'Keefe (52'), Carey (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Luton

Miller (45')
Hylton (50'), Marriott (69'), Smith (96')
Hylton (26'), Ruddock (55'), Potts (71'), McGeehan (98')
Potts (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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