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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Millwall logo

Plymouth
5 - 1
Millwall

Bryan (6' og.), Hardie (10' pen., 56'), Bundu (53'), Katic (86')
Randell (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bryan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Millwall

After the emotion of victory over Liverpool on Sunday afternoon, Plymouth could find it difficult to successfully return to the reality of a Championship relegation battle on Wednesday night. That being said, the Pilgrims are no longer a pushover at Home Park under Muslic and should be good enough to force a share of the spoils with Millwall. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
24% (-0.709 -0.71) 25.24% (-0.735 -0.73) 50.76% (1.441 1.44)
Both teams to score 50.1% (1.43 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (2.23 2.23)52.48% (-2.235 -2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (1.883 1.88)74.15% (-1.886 -1.89)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (0.593 0.59)36.82% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (0.589 0.59)73.61% (-0.593 -0.59)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (1.53 1.53)20.69% (-1.533 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (2.357 2.36)53.28% (-2.362 -2.36)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 24%
    Millwall 50.75%
    Draw 25.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.564 -0.56)
2-1 @ 5.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 24%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.698 -0.7)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.5 -0.5)
0-2 @ 9.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.201 0.2)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.326 0.33)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.201 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.96% (0.183 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.212 0.21)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 50.75%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Millwall

Plymouth Argyle
39.5%
Draw
16.3%
Millwall
44.2%
43
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
1-0
Plymouth
Esse (13')
Honeyman (8'), Azeez (45+1'), Saville (59'), Cooper (76'), Bryan (85')

Szucs (63')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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