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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
2 - 2
Cardiff

Scanlon (2'), De Norre (19')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Willock (45+1'), Salech (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-0 Swansea
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Cardiff City

Millwall have struggled offensively this season, while Cardiff have had issues at the back, so expect a close-fought affair regardless of the result. That being said, the hosts' lack of attacking output means that they are unlikely to score more than once, so if the visitors find their shooting boots then the game could slip away from the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
48.54% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 27.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.75% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.58% (0.025000000000006 0.03)61.42% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.69% (0.02 0.02)81.31% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)42.09% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)78.52% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.53%
    Cardiff City 23.75%
    Draw 27.7%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 48.53%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 23.75%

How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff

Millwall
31.3%
Draw
17.2%
Cardiff City
51.6%
64
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Ng (39')
Chambers (26')

De Norre (64'), Cooper (87'), Leonard (90+1')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
3-1
Cardiff
Obafemi (9'), Cooper (45+4'), Watmore (90+3')
Longman (69'), Saville (90+1'), Watmore (90+4')
Meite (24')
Collins (69')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Goutas (78')
Meite (62')

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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