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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Cardiff City logo

Watford
1 - 2
Cardiff

Chakvetadze (38')
Louza (60'), Andrews (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Robinson (1', 42')
Rinomhota (55'), Chambers (69'), Daland (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Portsmouth
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Cardiff
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Cardiff City

Cardiff are yet to win on their travels this season, and they will be coming up against the team with the second-best home record in the Championship during the 2024-25 campaign, so we can only see one result on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCardiff City
53.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 24.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.24%
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)54.09% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (-0.038 -0.04)75.51% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)52.33% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)40.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.023 -0.02)77.01% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.77%
    Cardiff City 21.24%
    Draw 24.97%
WatfordDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.24%

How you voted: Watford vs Cardiff

Watford
71.0%
Draw
16.1%
Cardiff City
12.9%
62
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')
Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
1-1
Watford
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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