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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
1 - 0
Bristol City

Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Twine (72'), Pring (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Watford
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
44.87% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)26.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)28.6% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)54.43% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)58.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (0.117 0.12)34.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (0.128 0.13)70.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.86%
    Bristol City 28.6%
    Draw 26.52%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.4%
Draw
8.2%
Bristol City
16.4%
61
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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