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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Leeds logo

Bristol City
0 - 0
Leeds


Morrison (85')
FT

Gnonto (40'), Tanaka (51'), Bogle (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Leeds United

Bristol City certainly have the tools to cause Leeds United problems, but with momentum growing in Daniel Farke's side, we see the visitors being too strong at Ashton Gate and returning to Yorkshire with a third straight three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
30.71% (0.447 0.45) 26.63% (1.066 1.07) 42.67% (-1.51 -1.51)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-3.135 -3.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (-4.155 -4.16)53.91% (4.156 4.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-3.601 -3.6)75.36% (3.602 3.6)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-1.81 -1.81)32.21% (1.811 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-2.103 -2.1)68.7% (2.104 2.1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-2.556 -2.56)25.02% (2.556 2.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-3.677 -3.68)59.69% (3.678 3.68)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 30.71%
    Leeds United 42.66%
    Draw 26.62%
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.999 1)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.17% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.268 -0.27)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.71%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 8.06% (1.23 1.23)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.434 -0.43)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 11.16% (0.97 0.97)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.394 -0.39)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.66%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Leeds

Bristol City
10.1%
Draw
26.6%
Leeds United
63.3%
79
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Dickie (63')
Gnonto (47')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
2-1
Bristol City
James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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