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Championship header 2

Championship
Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Leeds logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Leeds


Dickie (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gnonto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Leeds United

 Despite their recent poor form, Bristol City have proven this season that they can match the bigger teams at Ashton Gate. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors may prove too difficult to stop, the end result potentially being a late win for Farke's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
29.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 23.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 46.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03)65.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.027999999999992 0.03)27.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)62.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)18.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)50% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.63%
    Leeds United 46.43%
    Draw 23.94%
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.63%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 46.43%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Leeds

Bristol City
16.2%
Draw
9.4%
Leeds United
74.4%
117
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
2-1
Bristol City
James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')
> Preview
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 33
Leeds
1-0
Bristol City
> Match Report
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
2-0
Bristol City
Roofe (69'), Hernandez (86')
Alioski (27')

Brownhill (20')
Brownhill (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley452716266155197
2Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344
> Championship Full Table


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