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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Millwall


Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hutchinson (90+2')
Norton-Cuffy (74'), Leonard (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Millwall

Millwall have only actually lost four times away from home in the Championship this season, sharing the spoils on five occasions, while Bristol City have dropped points in half of their 12 home league games in 2023-24. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are backing a low-scoring draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
42.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 26.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 31.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 51.77% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)52.8% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)74.42% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)24.68% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)59.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)31.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.6% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.35%
    Millwall 31.25%
    Draw 26.39%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.25%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
60.7%
Draw
28.6%
Millwall
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
0-1
Bristol City

Hutchinson (67')
James (90+4')
Williams (25'), Pring (69'), Vyner (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol City
1-2
Millwall
Hutchinson (71' og.)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
1-0
Bristol City
Wallace (64' pen.)
McNamara (79')

Williams (59'), Atkinson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds352210372225076
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd35236650272373
3Burnley351914245103571
4Sunderland351811652322065
5Coventry CityCoventry35158124944553
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom351216745321352
7Bristol City35131394538752
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn35157134035552
9Middlesbrough35148135546950
10Watford35147144548-349
11Norwich CityNorwich351212115648848
12Millwall351112123436-245
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds35129144756-945
14Queens Park RangersQPR351111134145-444
15Preston North EndPreston35916103641-543
16Swansea CitySwansea35118163746-941
17Portsmouth35109164357-1439
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd35911153652-1638
19Hull City3599173544-936
20Stoke CityStoke35812153447-1336
21Cardiff CityCardiff35812153857-1936
22Luton TownLuton3587203255-2331
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth35612173670-3430
24Derby CountyDerby3578203348-1529


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