MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 22:11:00| >> :60:700:700:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Felix Capriles

Universitario de Vinto
0 - 1
Nacional


Jara (14'), Mendoza (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alejandro Camacho Almanza (31' og.)
Prost (72')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosi.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Universitario de Vinto 0-2 Nacional
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-0 Nacional
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario de Vinto win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario de Vinto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Universitario de VintoDrawNacional Potosi
58.01% (-0.058 -0.06) 21.91% (0.029 0.03) 20.08% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)42.87% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)65.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Universitario de Vinto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)14.5% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)42.51% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.17% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)71.93% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Universitario de Vinto 58.01%
    Nacional Potosi 20.08%
    Draw 21.91%
Universitario de VintoDrawNacional Potosi
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 20.08%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 10pm
First Round
Universitario de Vinto
0-2
Nacional
Callejo (6'), Cristaldo (87' pen.)
Andia (41'), Biaggio (42'), Anez (50'), Hoyos (64')
Biaggio (66'), Hoyos (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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