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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol City
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Armstrong (57'), Wells (75' pen.)
Williams (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (28')
El Mizouni (11'), Moore (66'), Vaulks (74'), Brown (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Oxford United

Many will feel that Oxford make the trip to Ashton Gate as the favourites to come out on top given their superior start. Nevertheless, we are backing Bristol City to earn a share of the spoils, even if that will not go down well with their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
55.54% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.35%21.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 55.54%
    Oxford United 21.1%
    Draw 23.35%
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 0.91%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 55.54%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.1%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Oxford Utd

Bristol City
38.3%
Draw
23.4%
Oxford United
38.3%
47
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-1
Oxford Utd
Cornick (15'), Knight (35', 47'), Wells (51'), Naismith (62')
Dickie (55'), Roberts (90+7')
Bodin (30')
Brown (45+4'), Murphy (70'), Rodrigues (89')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Bristol City
4-1
Oxford Utd
Conway (13', 54'), Weimann (27'), Knight (49')
O'Donkor (15')
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bryan (2')
Bryan (22'), El-Abd (70')
Morris (55'), Hylton (87')
Collins (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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