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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Preston North End logo

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Preston

Harris (20'), Goodrham (54'), Leigh (71')
Rodrigues (45+3'), McCann (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Riis Jakobsen (3')
Greenwood (22'), Lindsay (52'), Brady (76')
Lindsay (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPreston North End
37.38% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.6% (0.064999999999998 0.06)35.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.23% (-0.244 -0.24)56.76% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.196 -0.2)77.71% (0.197 0.2)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.172 -0.17)29.28% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.214 -0.21)65.24% (0.214 0.21)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.107 -0.11)30.74% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.125 -0.13)67% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 37.38%
    Preston North End 35.01%
    Draw 27.6%
Oxford UnitedDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 10.61% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.01%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Preston

Oxford United
47.4%
Draw
23.7%
Preston North End
28.9%
38