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EFL Cup

Oxford United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Peterborough

Goodrham (20'), Phillips (41')
Goodrham (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Curtis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
31.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)24.79%43.21%
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)45.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)62.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)54.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 31.99%
    Peterborough United 43.21%
    Draw 24.79%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.58%
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 4.88%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.99%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.94%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.21%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Peterborough United
8.3%
36
Head to Head
May 8, 2024 8pm
Peterborough
1-1
Oxford Utd
Knight (41')
Brannagan (45+3' pen.)
Harris (30'), Stevens (40'), Brown (70')
> Preview
May 4, 2024 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
Peterborough
Moore (53')
Rodrigues (30'), Bennett (43')

Mason-Clark (76'), Katongo (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Peterborough
0-0
Oxford Utd
rhs 2.0
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