Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Oxford United |
| 53.45% ( | 22.26% ( | 24.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( | 39.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( | 61.68% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( | 14.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.97% ( | 43.02% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( | 29.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.59% ( | 65.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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