Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.