Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.