Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.