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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
61.57% | 20.88% | 17.55% |
Both teams to score 54.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.83% | 42.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.43% | 64.57% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.81% | 13.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.1% | 39.9% |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% | 37.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% | 74.28% |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-0 @ 10.14% 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-0 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.25% Total : 61.56% | 1-1 @ 9.83% 0-0 @ 4.94% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.88% | 0-1 @ 4.85% 1-2 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.6% 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 95 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 94 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
4 | Barnsley | 44 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 85 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 13 | 20 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 59 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 56 | 78 | -22 | 52 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 50 |
18 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 44 |
20 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 41 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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